Bayesian Methods in Reservoir Operations : TheZambezi River
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper describes a general Bayesian methodology for reservoir operations. This methodology is applied to the operation of the two main reservoirs in the Zambezi river: Lake Kariba and Cahora Bassa.
منابع مشابه
Application of Bayesian decision making tool in detecting oil-water contact in a carbonate reservoir
Detection of Oil-Water Contacts (OWCs) is one of the primary tasks before evaluation of reservoir’s hydrocarbon in place, determining net pay zones and suitable depths for perforation operation. This paper introduces Bayesian decision making tool as an effective technique in OWC detecting using wire line logs. To compare strengths of the suggested method in detecting OWC with conventional one, ...
متن کاملCombined Effects of Reservoir Operations and Climate Warming on the Flow Regime of Hydropower Bypass Reaches of Californias Sierra Nevada
Alterations to flow regimes from regulation and climatic change both affect the biophysical functioning of rivers over long time periods and large spatial areas. Historically, however, the effects of these flow alteration drivers have been studied separately. In this study, results from unregulated and regulated river management models were assessed to understand how flow regime alterations fro...
متن کاملCopper, Zinc, and Arsinic in Bottom Sediments of Clark Fork River Reservoirs: Preliminary Findings
Acetic acid extracts of sediments from four Clark Fork River reservoirs,--Milltown, Thompson Falls, Noxon Rapids, and Cabinet Gorge--indicate that mining and smelting operations in the upper drainage have enriched metal concentrations throughout the river. Milltown Reservoir contains metal values over 10 times the background levels for copper, zinc, and arsenic. Enrichment over background decre...
متن کاملPotential impact of global warming on river runoff coming to Jor reservoir, Malaysia by integration of LARS-WG with artificial neural networks
Background: Changes in temperature and precipitation pattern seriously affect the amount of river runoff coming into Dam Lake. These changes could influence the operating conditions of reservoir systems such as Jor hydropower reservoir system (Malaysia) with the total capacity of 150 MW. So, it is necessary to analyze the effect of changes in weather parameters on the river runoff and consequen...
متن کاملCoupling real-time control and socio-economic issues in participatory river basin planning
In this paper an approach for coupling real-time control and socio-economic issues in participatory river basin planning is presented through a case study. It relies on the use of Bayesian Networks (Bns) to describe in a probabilistic way the behaviour of farmers within an irrigation district in response to some planning actions. Bayesian Networks are coupled with classical stochastic hydrologi...
متن کامل